European urology · 2011
The EORTC tables overestimate the risk of recurrence and progression in patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer treated with bacillus Calmette-Guérin: external validation of the EORTC risk tables.
СтатьяПоддержка исследования: вне правительства СШАВалидационное исследованиеНазвание и аннотация: Перевод в очереди
Обработка статьи · этапы, ошибки и управление
Загрузка состояния…
Ошибки и ограничения
История · было → стало
Состояние обновляется каждые 5 секунд, пока блок открыт. Процент показывается только там, где известен объём работы. Пауза останавливает продолжение этапа; текущий запрос к источнику может завершиться.
Fernandez-Gomez Jesus, Madero Rosario, Solsona Eduardo, Unda Miguel, Martinez-Piñeiro Luis, Ojea Antonio, Portillo Jose, Montesinos Manuel, Gonzalez Marcelino, Pertusa Carlos, Rodriguez-Molina Jesus, Camacho Jose Emilio, Rabadan Mariano, Astobieta Ander, Isorna Santiago, Muntañola Pedro, Gimeno Anabel, Blas Miguel, Martinez-Piñeiro Jose Antonio, Club Urológico Español de Tratamiento Oncológico
Аннотация
BACKGROUND: European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk tables only included 171 patients treated with bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) for non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC).
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the external validity of the EORTC tables in patients with NMIBC treated with BCG over 5-6 mo.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Data on 1062 patients treated with BCG were analyzed.
MEASUREMENTS: Discrimination was assessed using the concordance index (c-index) and the prognostic separation index (PSEP). For calibration, probabilities of recurrence and progression obtained with the EORTC risk tables in our series were compared with those reported by the EORTC.
RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: With respect to the discriminative ability of the EORTC model, c-index was similar to those reported in the EORTC series for recurrence. However, c-indices for progression in our series were lower than c-indices reported by Sylvester et al. [1]. Although PSEP in our series was lower than in the EORTC series for recurrence at 1 yr, similar results were found at 5 yr. Regarding progression, PSEP in our series was lower than in the EORTC series. Whilst a successful stratification of recurrence and progression probability at 1 and 5 yr was achieved using the EORTC tables in our series, model calibration showed lower risks of recurrence than those reported by Sylvester et al. [1] in all groups. For progression, lower risks were found in higher-risk groups. There are some limitations in the present study. A different distribution of patients was found, with higher proportions of primary grade 3 T1 tumors and tumors in situ than in the EORTC series. An additional limitation is that prior recurrence of the EORTC table was not included in our parameters. Consequently, two separate analyses were performed for recurrence.
CONCLUSIONS: The EORTC model successfully stratified recurrence and progression risks in our cohort. However, the discriminative ability of the EORTC tables decreased in our patients for progression. Moreover, these tables overestimated risks of recurrence and progression after BCG therapy.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the external validity of the EORTC tables in patients with NMIBC treated with BCG over 5-6 mo.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Data on 1062 patients treated with BCG were analyzed.
MEASUREMENTS: Discrimination was assessed using the concordance index (c-index) and the prognostic separation index (PSEP). For calibration, probabilities of recurrence and progression obtained with the EORTC risk tables in our series were compared with those reported by the EORTC.
RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: With respect to the discriminative ability of the EORTC model, c-index was similar to those reported in the EORTC series for recurrence. However, c-indices for progression in our series were lower than c-indices reported by Sylvester et al. [1]. Although PSEP in our series was lower than in the EORTC series for recurrence at 1 yr, similar results were found at 5 yr. Regarding progression, PSEP in our series was lower than in the EORTC series. Whilst a successful stratification of recurrence and progression probability at 1 and 5 yr was achieved using the EORTC tables in our series, model calibration showed lower risks of recurrence than those reported by Sylvester et al. [1] in all groups. For progression, lower risks were found in higher-risk groups. There are some limitations in the present study. A different distribution of patients was found, with higher proportions of primary grade 3 T1 tumors and tumors in situ than in the EORTC series. An additional limitation is that prior recurrence of the EORTC table was not included in our parameters. Consequently, two separate analyses were performed for recurrence.
CONCLUSIONS: The EORTC model successfully stratified recurrence and progression risks in our cohort. However, the discriminative ability of the EORTC tables decreased in our patients for progression. Moreover, these tables overestimated risks of recurrence and progression after BCG therapy.
Предметные рубрики MeSH
Adjuvants, ImmunologicAdministration, IntravesicalAgedAged, 80 and overBCG VaccineDiscriminant AnalysisDisease ProgressionHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateMiddle AgedNeoplasm InvasivenessNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicReproducibility of ResultsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSpainTime FactorsTreatment OutcomeUrinary Bladder Neoplasms