Serum alkaline phosphatase is a strong predictor of mortality in ESKD patients: analysis of the RISCAVID cohort.

BACKGROUND

Mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients remains unacceptably high compared with that of the general population and despite the continuous improvement of dialysis techniques. This study aimed to assess the role of alkaline phosphatase serum levels on cardiovascular and overall mortality in the RISCAVID study cohort through a long follow-up period, looking for associations with known risk factors for poor outcome.

METHODS

In June 2004, a prospective observational study was started focusing on the cardiovascular risk in hemodialysis patients who lived in the north-west area of Tuscany (RISCAVID, "RISchio CArdiovascolare nei pazienti afferenti all'Area Vasta In Dialisi"). The RISCAVID cohort included 572 prevalent patients on maintenance HD for at least three months. Morbid or fatal events were prospectively recorded at 6-month intervals for a follow up time of 216 months.

RESULTS

In univariable Cox regression analysis, dialysis technique, Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index, peripheral vascular disease, and intact parathyroid hormone and total calcium serum levels were significantly associated with baseline alkaline phosphatase serum levels. Cox multivariable analysis showed that elevated serum alkaline phosphatase levels (the highest quartile), advanced age, dialysis vintage, type of vascular access, Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index, C-reactive protein and calcium serum levels, history of cardiovascular disease and peripheral vascular disease were independent predictors of overall mortality in maintenance HD patients. The fourth quartile of alkaline phosphatase was associated with all-cause 10-year mortality (HR: 1.47; 95% CI: 1.177-1.834) with a 47% increase with respect to the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd quartiles. This was also observed for 18-year all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Adjusted proportional analysis showed the alkaline phosphatase value to be an independent and powerful predictor of overall mortality in the hemodialysis population.