Genomic Characterization and Predictors of Mortality in Invasive Streptococcus pneumoniae Disease in Oman: A Four-Year National Genomic Study.

Background/

Objectives

Following the introduction of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in Oman, this study aimed to characterize the genomic epidemiology, serotype distribution, and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) of Streptococcus pneumoniae causing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD).

Methods

All IPD isolates collected through national laboratory-based surveillance between 2018 and 2021 were analyzed using Whole-Genome Sequencing (WGS). Bioinformatics tools determined serotypes, multilocus sequence types (MLSTs), and Global Pneumococcal Sequence Clusters (GPSCs). Clinical correlates and predictors of mortality were assessed via multivariate logistic regression.

Results

A total of 129 IPD isolates were included. Serotype 3 (11.6%) was the most prevalent, followed by 23B and 9N (10.8% each), and 8 (8.5%). PCV13 serotypes accounted for only 26.4% of isolates, while PCV20 coverage reached 59.7%. Significant clonal diversity was observed, with GPSC12 (Serotype 3) and GPSC699 (Serotype 9N/13) being prominent lineages. Multidrug resistance (MDR) was identified in 36.4% of isolates, primarily driven by GPSC6 and GPSC699. The case fatality rate was 23.0%. Advanced age (≥65 years) and clinical presentation with bacteremia were significant independent predictors of death, whereas bacterial genotype and AMR status were not.

Conclusions

The findings demonstrate significant serotype replacement in Oman after the introduction of PCV13. The high prevalence of non-vaccine serotypes and emerging MDR clones justifies the transition to higher-valency vaccines like PCV20. Sustained genomic surveillance remains essential to monitor the evolving landscape of invasive pneumococcal lineages.