BMI Category and Survival in Incident Hemodialysis Patients: The Overweight Advantage in an Eastern European Cohort.

Background

Obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and hypertension are increasingly prevalent components of metabolic syndrome and major contributors to cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease progression; however, in end-stage kidney disease an "obesity paradox" has been described, with higher body mass index (BMI) sometimes associated with improved survival on hemodialysis. Material and methods: This retrospective, single-center Eastern European cohort study aimed to characterize mortality and its causes around hemodialysis initiation in the contemporary era of cardiometabolic prevention and to test whether the obesity paradox persists at this high-risk transition. Adult patients initiating dialysis at the "Pius Brânzeu" Emergency Clinical Hospital (Timișoara, Romania) between January 2022 and December 2025 (n = 268; median age 66 years; 61% male; median eGFR 6.4 mL/min/1.73 m2) were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox regression, with comprehensive baseline clinical, laboratory, echocardiographic, medication, infection, and vascular access data; follow-up was obtained at 3, 6, 12, 24, and 36 months.

Results

Late referral was common (61% < 3 months of nephrology follow-up), dialysis initiation was predominantly urgent (only 16% scheduled), and central venous catheters were the main access (81%), with substantial comorbidity burden (cardiovascular disease 71%, hypertension 90%) and frequent infections at initiation. BMI categories were non-obese (<25 kg/m2, 30%), overweight (25-29.9 kg/m2, 48%), and obese (≥30 kg/m2, 22%); diabetes prevalence rose with BMI (32% to 58%). Unadjusted mortality did not differ by BMI (19.8%, 18.8%, 15.3%; log-rank p = 0.622), yet multivariable Cox models showed overweight status independently reduced mortality (HR 0.22 at 3 months, 0.29 at 1 year, 0.31 at 3 years vs. non-obese), whereas obesity was not protective. Early mortality was driven mainly by age ≥ 65 years, while diabetes and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease predicted later mortality; longer pre-dialysis follow-up time was strongly protective (HR per year 0.70 at 3 years), and higher intact parathyroid hormone showed an inverse association with 1-year mortality.

Conclusions

These findings show a modified obesity paradox at dialysis initiation in which moderate excess weight, but not obesity, is associated with improved adjusted survival, underscoring the clinical importance of earlier nephrology engagement and individualized nutritional and risk-factor management during the pre-dialysis and early dialysis periods.