Dynamic analysis of a SEAIRS model on co-evolution of human behavior changes in COVID-19 epidemic.
Аннотация
Considering that people usually take non-drug protective measures (making behavior changes), this paper proposes a new SEAIRS model by combining behavior changes during the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic. First, we prove the positivity and boundedness of the solution of the model. Furthermore, the existence and stability of the equilibrium points are discussed in three behavior scenarios $ (B_c = 0, \ B_c = 1, \ 0 < B_c < 1, $ where $ B_c $ represents the proportion of susceptible individuals ($ S $), exposed individuals ($ E $), and asymptomatic infected individuals ($ A $) who adopt preventive behavior changes). Finally, we illustrate the model's behaviour using COVID-19 data from Romania, and summarize some valuable results: (i) the spread of diseases can be effectively controlled by reducing the contact between susceptible, exposed, and infected individuals; (ii) increasing the proportion of behavioral changes can significantly reduce the number of infected individuals. The model suggests two main theoretical measures to promote behavior changes within the framework: one is to increase the return difference between the two behaviors by adjusting relevant parameters, and the other is to increase the value of the information function.
Предметные рубрики MeSH
Подготовка и перевод публикации
Обработка статьи · этапы, ошибки и управление
Ошибки и ограничения
История · было → стало
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