European heart journal · 2026
Risk-weighted apoB: a novel summary metric outperforming traditional lipid biomarkers in predicting coronary heart disease.
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Rehman Michaela B, Björnson Elias, Adiels Martin, Morze Jakub, Bergström Göran, Gummesson Anders, Erlinge David, Fall Tove, Matic Ljubica, Söderberg Stefan, Östgren Carl Johan, Packard Chris J, Borén Jan
Аннотация
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: LDL-C and non-HDL-C do not fully capture coronary heart disease (CHD) risk attributed to all apoB-containing lipoproteins. Use of apolipoprotein B (apoB) as a marker of total atherogenic particle number improves risk prediction, but risk may still be underestimated when triglyceride-rich lipoproteins (TRL/remnants) and lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] are elevated. The aim was to formulate a new metric-risk-weighted apoB (RW-apoB)-designed to capture risk from LDL, TRL/remnants, and Lp(a) in a single number.
METHODS: Based on previously published estimates of the relative atherogenicity of LDL, TRL/remnant, and Lp(a) particles, RW-apoB was developed (using UK Biobank data) as an atherogenicity-weighted apoB-sum calculated as: RW-apoB = 11.65×TG(mmol/L) + 0.215×lipoprotein(a)(nmol/L) + 0.736×apoB(mg/dL).
RESULTS: Assigning RW-apoB to individuals substantially reclassified their risk status. Compared with ranking by measured apoB, 52% of individuals were up- or down-ranked by ≥10 percentiles. About one-third of those in the top RW-apoB quintile-with elevated TRL and Lp(a) and a CHD event rate of 5.4%-were misclassified as lower risk by apoB. Conversely, individuals in the top measured apoB quintile but with low TRL and Lp(a) had a lower event rate (3.9%) and were correctly down-ranked. RW-apoB improved risk prediction, significantly increasing Harrell's C-index relative to apoB (P < .0001). In statin-treated subjects, RW-apoB was potentially a better index of residual risk. RW-apoB consistently outperformed apoB as a risk predictor in Cox models across the UK Biobank and three other large population cohorts.
CONCLUSIONS: RW-apoB represents not only particle number but also accounts for the higher atherogenicity of TRL and Lp(a). It offers clinically meaningful improvements in CHD risk stratification.
METHODS: Based on previously published estimates of the relative atherogenicity of LDL, TRL/remnant, and Lp(a) particles, RW-apoB was developed (using UK Biobank data) as an atherogenicity-weighted apoB-sum calculated as: RW-apoB = 11.65×TG(mmol/L) + 0.215×lipoprotein(a)(nmol/L) + 0.736×apoB(mg/dL).
RESULTS: Assigning RW-apoB to individuals substantially reclassified their risk status. Compared with ranking by measured apoB, 52% of individuals were up- or down-ranked by ≥10 percentiles. About one-third of those in the top RW-apoB quintile-with elevated TRL and Lp(a) and a CHD event rate of 5.4%-were misclassified as lower risk by apoB. Conversely, individuals in the top measured apoB quintile but with low TRL and Lp(a) had a lower event rate (3.9%) and were correctly down-ranked. RW-apoB improved risk prediction, significantly increasing Harrell's C-index relative to apoB (P < .0001). In statin-treated subjects, RW-apoB was potentially a better index of residual risk. RW-apoB consistently outperformed apoB as a risk predictor in Cox models across the UK Biobank and three other large population cohorts.
CONCLUSIONS: RW-apoB represents not only particle number but also accounts for the higher atherogenicity of TRL and Lp(a). It offers clinically meaningful improvements in CHD risk stratification.