Higher Incidence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Suppressed Hepatitis B Cirrhosis Compared With Cured Hepatitis C Cirrhosis.

INTRODUCTION

Direct-acting antiviral agents effectively cure chronic hepatitis C (CHC), whereas curative therapy for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is rare. We aimed to compare hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence between suppressed CHB vs cured CHC patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

We analyzed 5,773 cirrhosis patients from 43 centers in 9 countries: 1,877 with treated and suppressed CHB and 3,896 with direct-acting antiviral agents-cured CHC using inverse probability treatment weight and competing risk analysis through Fine and Gray method.

RESULTS

After inverse probability treatment weight (on age, sex, ethnicity, study location, albumin, total bilirubin, creatinine, platelet, tobacco use, alcohol use, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, cardiovascular disease, steatotic liver disease, obesity, and follow-up years), 2 study groups became similar in relevant characteristics. The 5-year cumulative HCC incidence was significantly higher in suppressed CHB compared with cured CHC (18.1% vs 7.4%, P < 0.001) with consistent findings in subgroups by sex and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (all P < 0.021), fast CHB responders (time from treatment to viral suppression <1 year) ( P < 0.001), and CHB suppressed for <2 years ( P < 0.001), but not among CHB suppressed for ≥2 years whose HCC incidence was similar to those of cured CHC ( P = 0.954). On multivariable analysis, CHB suppression <2 years as compared with cured CHC (subdistribution hazard ratio 20.92, P < 0.001) and total bilirubin (subdistribution hazard ratio 0.71, P = 0.04) were associated with higher HCC risk.

DISCUSSION: HCC risk remains high in both treated and suppressed CHB cirrhosis and cured CHC cirrhosis. However, with prolonged CHB suppression, risk of HCC can be reduced, highlighting benefits of early treatment and viral suppression in patients with CHB.