Is Fetal-Type Posterior Cerebral Artery a Risk Factor for Recurrence in Coiled Internal Carotid Artery-Incorporating Posterior Communicating Artery Aneurysms? Analysis of Conventional Statistics, Computational Fluid Dynamics, and Random Forest With Hyper-Ensemble Approach.

BACKGROUND

The fetal-type posterior cerebral artery (FPCA) has been regarded as the risk factor for recurrence in coiled internal carotid artery-incorporating posterior communicating artery (ICA-PCoA) aneurysm. However, it has not been proven in previous literature studies.

OBJECTIVE

To reveal the impact of FPCA on the recurrence of ICA-PCoA aneurysms using conventional statistical analysis, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation, and random forest with hyper-ensemble approach (RF with HEA).

METHODS

Vascular parameters and clinical information from patients who underwent coil embolization ICA-PCoA aneurysms from January 2011 to December 2016 were obtained. Conventional statistical analysis was applied to a total of 95 cases obtained from patients with a follow-up of more than 6 months. For CFD simulation, 3 sets of three-dimensional models were used to understand the hemodynamical characteristics of various FPCAs. The RF with HEA was applied to reinforce the clinical data analysis.

RESULTS

The conventional statistical analysis fails to reveal that FPCA is a risk factor. CFD analysis shows that the diameter of FPCA alone is less likely to be a risk factor. The RF with HEA shows that the impact of FPCA is also minor compared with that of the packing density in the recurrence of coiled ICA-PCoA aneurysms.

CONCLUSION

The gathered results of all 3 analyses show more clear evidence that FPCA is not a risk factor for coiled ICA-PCoA aneurysms. Hence, we may conclude that FPCA itself is doubtful to be the major risk factor in the recurrence of coiled ICA-PCoA aneurysms.