A Multicenter Survey on the Trend of Chest CT Scan Utilization: Tracing the First Footsteps of COVID-19 in Iran.
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Radmard Amir Reza, Gholamrezanezhad Ali, Montazeri Seyed Ali, Kasaeian Amir, Nematollahy Nemat, Molaee Langrudi Roghieh, Javad Rashid Reza, Dehghan Alireza, Hekmatnia Ali, Shakourirad Ali, Pezeshki Rad Masoud, Nafisi Moghadam Reza, Sharifian Hashem, Enhesari Ahmad, Aalinezhad Marzieh, Jamalipour Soufi Ghazaleh, Shakibafard Alireza, Mohammadzadeh Maryam, Jalli Reza, Bakhshayeshkaram Mehrdad, Faghihi Langroudi Taraneh, Raoufi Masoomeh, Abrishami Alireza, Dehghan Pooneh, Bahrami-Motlagh Hooman, Hashemi Hassan, Sanei Taheri Morteza
Аннотация
OBJECTIVES: To trace the footsteps of COVID-19 in Iran by exploring the trend in using chest CT scans and its economic impact on radiology departments. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, the number of imaging examinations from 33 tertiary radiology departments in 9 large cities of Iran was collected from September 23, 2019 to March 20, 2020 (Months 1 to 6) and the corresponding months in 2018-2019.
RESULTS: A 50.2% increase was noted in the chest CT scan utilization in 2019-2020 compared to 2018-2019. This increase was +15%, +15%, +27%, +2%, +1% in Months 1-5 of 2019-2020, respectively. In Month 6 of 2019-2020, a 251% increase in the acquisition of chest CT scans was observed compared to the Month 6 of 2018-2019. Following negative balance of revenue from Month 1 to 5 with respect to the inflation rate, the total income in Month 6 was further 1.5% less than the same Month in 2018-19.
CONCLUSION: The observed peak in chest CT utilization in Month 3 prior to the surge in Month 6 could be explained by the seasonal influenza. However, unawareness about an emerging viral disease, i.e. COVID-19, might have underutilized chest CT in Months 4 and 5 before the official announcement in Month 6. The unbalanced increase in the workload of radiology departments in the shortage of cardiothoracic radiologists with the simultaneous decrease in income initiated a vicious cycle that worsened the economic repercussions of the pandemic.