Predictors of Care Home Admission and Survival Rate in Patients With Syndromes Associated With Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration in Europe.
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Borroni Barbara, Tarantino Barbara, Graff Caroline, Krüger Johanna, Ludolph Albert C, Moreno Fermin, Otto Markus, Rowe James B, Seelaar Harro, Solje Eino, Stefanova Elka, Traykov Latchezar D, Jelic Vesna, Anderl-Straub Sarah, Portaankorva Anne M, Barandiaran Myriam, Gabilondo Alazne, Murley Alexander G, Rittman Timothy, Van Der Ende Emma, Van Swieten John C, Hartikainen Päivi, Stojmenović Gorana Mandić, Mehrabian Shima, Ghidoni Roberta, Alberici Antonella C, Dell'Abate Maria Teresa, Zecca Chiara, Grassi Mario, Logroscino Giancarlo, for FRONTIERS
Аннотация
METHODS: We conducted a prospective longitudinal multinational observational registry study, considering incident patients with FTLD-associated syndromes diagnosed between June 1, 2018, and May 31, 2019, and followed for up to 5 years till May 31, 2023. We enrolled patients fulfilling diagnosis of the behavioral variant frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD), primary progressive aphasia (PPA), progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP) or corticobasal syndrome (CBS), and FTD with motor neuron disease (FTD-MND). Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox multivariable regression models were used to assess care home admission and survival rates. The survival probability score (SPS) was computed based on independent predictors of survivorship.
RESULTS: A total of 266 incident patients with FTLD were included (mean age ± SD = 66.7 ± 9.0; female = 41.4%). The median care home admission rate was 97 months (95% CIs 86-98) from disease onset and 57 months (95% CIs 56-58) from diagnosis. The median survival was 90 months (95% CIs 77-97) from disease onset and 49 months (95% CIs 44-58) from diagnosis. Survival from diagnosis was shorter in FTD-MND (hazard ratio [HR] 4.59, 95% CIs 2.49-8.76, p < 0.001) and PSP/CBS (HR 1.56, 95% CIs 1.01-2.42, p = 0.044) compared with bvFTD; no differences between PPA and bvFTD were found. The SPS proved high accuracy in predicting 1-year survival probability (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.789, 95% CIs 0.69-0.87), when defined by age, European area of residency, extrapyramidal symptoms, and MND at diagnosis.
DISCUSSION: In FTLD-associated syndromes, survival rates differ according to clinical features and geography. The SPS was able to predict prognosis at individual patient level with an accuracy of ∼80% and may help to improve patient stratification in clinical trials. Future confirmatory studies considering different populations are needed.