Infection · 2021
Life expectancy of HIV-infected patients followed at the largest hospital in Guinea-Bissau is one-fourth of life expectancy of the background population.
СтатьяНаблюдательное исследованиеНазвание и аннотация: Перевод в очереди
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Engell-Sørensen Thomas, Rieckmann Andreas, Medina Candida, da Silva Té David, Rodrigues Amabelia, Fisker Ane Bærent, Aaby Peter, Erikstrup Christian, Jespersen Sanne, Wejse Christian, Hønge Bo Langhoff, Bissau HIV Cohort study group
Аннотация
PURPOSE: To estimate the life expectancy (LE) of HIV-infected patients in the West African country Guinea-Bissau and compare it with the background population.
METHODS: Using data from the largest HIV outpatient clinic at the Hospital Nacional Simão Mendes in the capital Bissau, a retrospective observational cohort study was performed. The study included patients attending the clinic between June 2005 and January 2018. A total of 8958 HIV-infected patients were included. In the analysis of the background population, a total of 109,191 people were included. LE incorporating loss to follow-up (LTFU) was estimated via Kaplan-Meier estimators using observational data on adult HIV-infected patients and background population.
RESULTS: The LE of 20-year-old HIV-infected patients was 9.8 years (95% CI 8.3-11.5), corresponding to 22.3% (95% CI 18.5-26.7%) of the LE of the background population. (LE for 20-year-olds in the background population was 44.0 years [95% CI 43.0-44.9].) Patients diagnosed with CD4 cell counts below 200 cells/µL had a LE of 5.7 years (95% CI 3.6-8.2). No increase in LE with later calendar period of diagnosis was observed.
CONCLUSIONS: LE was shown to be markedly lower among HIV-infected patients compared with the background population. While other settings have shown marked improvements in prognosis of HIV-infected patients in recent years, no improvement in Bissau was observed over time (9.8 years (95% CI 7.6-12.2) and 9.9 years (95% CI 7.6-12.1) for the periods 2005-2010 and 2014-2016, respectively).
METHODS: Using data from the largest HIV outpatient clinic at the Hospital Nacional Simão Mendes in the capital Bissau, a retrospective observational cohort study was performed. The study included patients attending the clinic between June 2005 and January 2018. A total of 8958 HIV-infected patients were included. In the analysis of the background population, a total of 109,191 people were included. LE incorporating loss to follow-up (LTFU) was estimated via Kaplan-Meier estimators using observational data on adult HIV-infected patients and background population.
RESULTS: The LE of 20-year-old HIV-infected patients was 9.8 years (95% CI 8.3-11.5), corresponding to 22.3% (95% CI 18.5-26.7%) of the LE of the background population. (LE for 20-year-olds in the background population was 44.0 years [95% CI 43.0-44.9].) Patients diagnosed with CD4 cell counts below 200 cells/µL had a LE of 5.7 years (95% CI 3.6-8.2). No increase in LE with later calendar period of diagnosis was observed.
CONCLUSIONS: LE was shown to be markedly lower among HIV-infected patients compared with the background population. While other settings have shown marked improvements in prognosis of HIV-infected patients in recent years, no improvement in Bissau was observed over time (9.8 years (95% CI 7.6-12.2) and 9.9 years (95% CI 7.6-12.1) for the periods 2005-2010 and 2014-2016, respectively).