medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
Standardized, repeatable ulcerative colitis histology scoring and endpoint assessment using an automated, foundation model-based tool.
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Tahir Waleed, Shamshoian John, Tauber John, Clinton Lani K, Griffin Michael, Shah Chintan, Singh Geetika, Fahy Darren, Sucipto Kathleen, Brosnan-Cashman Jacqueline A, Altepeter Tara A, Bhattacharya Sabyasachi, Crandall Wallace, Duan Chong, Gale Jeremy D, Gupta Vandana, Haarmann Hélène, Harpaz Noam, Hooper Andrea, Horowitz Julie, Hurtado-Lorenzo Andres, Hussaini Bader E, Jairath Vipul, Jones Autumn, Kostiuk Ben, Laroux F Stephen, Lissoos Trevor, McBride Russell B, Najdawi Fedaa, Nayyar Anil, Osterman Mark T, Panchal Pratik, Ruane Darren, Thakker Paresh, Travis Simon P, Wilson Laura, Jayson Christina
Аннотация
In clinical trials for ulcerative colitis (UC), pathologists assess disease severity through standardized histological indices, including the Geboes Score, Robarts Histopathology Index (RHI), and Nancy Histologic Index (NHI). Despite strong associations with clinical outcomes, histologic scoring suffers from inter- and intra-reader variability, and consensus criteria for histologic remission remain uncertain. Through a consortium approach, we developed an artificial intelligence-based measurement (AIM) tool for scoring histology in UC mucosal biopsies (AIM-HI UC). This model, trained on a large dataset of UC biopsies (N=10,230), utilizes additive multiple instance learning models leveraging PLUTO, a pathology foundation model, that predict each of the Geboes subgrades, from which the Geboes grade-level score, RHI, and NHI can be calculated. Evaluation of this model on a standalone verification set including clinical trial specimens established algorithm non-inferiority and/or superiority relative to standard qualified pathologists through comparison of algorithm-consensus and pathologist-consensus agreement metrics (non-inferior if difference >-0.1, superior if difference >0, inclusive of confidence intervals). AIM-HI UC was determined to be non-inferior to pathologists (N=3) for the prediction of all seven Geboes subgrades, grade-level Geboes, RHI, NHI, histologic improvement (GS≤3.1), 2A histologic remission (GS<2A.0), and 2B histologic remission (GS<2B.0). AIM-HI UC was superior to pathologists for several Geboes subgrades (GS 0, GS 1, GS 2B, and GS 5), as well as grade-level Geboes, RHI, and positive percent agreement of 2A histologic remission. The model was shown to be greater than 99% repeatable for all histologic scoring metrics examined. Model-derived scores were shown to strongly correlate with canonical histologic features of inflammation, including the proportion of total epithelium that is inflamed (Spearman r=0.83; p<0.01), the proportion of neutrophils localized within crypt epithelium (Spearman r=0.83, p<0.01), and the amount of mucosal area classified as erosion or ulceration (Spearman r=0.80, p<0.01). Overall, these results suggest that AIM-HI UC has the potential to improve consistency of UC histology interpretation, providing a path toward standardization of UC histology scoring in clinical trials.