Change in First-year Intravascular Ultrasound Results Predicts Adverse Events in Heart Transplant Recipients: Implications for Clinical Trial Endpoints.

BACKGROUND

Heart transplantation (HTx) is an established therapeutic option for patients with advanced heart failure who are refractory to conventional guideline-directed treatments. This study aimed to reassess whether intravascular ultrasound variables could predict adverse events after HTx in the modern era.

METHODS

One hundred primary HTx recipients with available serial intravascular ultrasound examination results of the left anterior descending artery 4-8 wk and 1 y after HTx were enrolled, with an average follow-up duration of 5.7 y. The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause death, nonfatal major adverse cardiac events, and angiographic cardiac allograft vasculopathy.

RESULTS

Forty-three patients developed primary endpoints. The baseline maximal intimal thickness was independently associated with the primary endpoint (hazard ratio, 8.24; 95% confidential interval [CI], 3.21-21.21; P  < 0.001), and the optimal cutoff value was 0.64 mm. A change in the plaque atheroma volume in a proximal 20-mm segment from the left anterior descending artery bifurcation >1.05 mm 3 /mm (hazard ratio, 2.75; 95% CI, 1.28-5.89; P  = 0.009) and a change in the first-year maximal intimal thickness >0.27 mm (hazard ratio, 2.63; 95% CI, 1.05-6.56; P  = 0.04) were independent predictors of the primary endpoint 1 y after intravascular ultrasonography.

CONCLUSIONS

The aforementioned important clinical implications of intravascular ultrasound parameters are useful predictors of outcomes, which may be considered endpoints in modern clinical HTx trials.