Increasing incidence of base of tongue cancers from 2000 to 2010 due to HPV: the largest demographic study of 210 Danish patients.

BACKGROUND

We assessed the development in the number of new base of tongue squamous-cell carcinoma (BSCC) cases per year in eastern Denmark from 2000 to 2010 and whether HPV may explain any observable increased incidence.

METHODS

We performed HPV DNA PCR and p16 immunohistochemistry analysis for all (n=210) BSCCs registered in the Danish Head and Neck Cancer Group (DAHANCA) and the Danish Pathology Data Bank, and genotyped all HPV-positive specimens with amplicon-based next-generation sequencing.

RESULTS

The overall crude incidence of BSCCs increased significantly (5.4% per year) during the study period. This was explained by a significant increase in the number of HPV-positive BSCCs (8.1% per year), whereas the number of HPV-negative BSCCs did not increase significantly. The overall HPV prevalence was 51%, with HPV16 as the predominant HPV type.

CONCLUSIONS

The increased number of HPV-positive BSCCs may explain the increasing incidence of BSCCs in eastern Denmark, 2000-2010.