A therapeutic window for carotid endarterectomy in patients with asymptomatic carotid stenosis.

The natural history of asymptomatic carotid stenosis was prospectively and systematically studied in 500 patients by clinical observation and carotid Doppler ultrasonography. In the 40% of carotid arteries (398) with an initial stenosis of over 35%, there were apparently two separate populations, with a cutoff point of 85% stenosis. There were 79 ischemic cerebral events (54 transient ischemic attacks and 25 strokes) among the 500 patients during 60 months of follow-up, predominantly in the severe-stenosis (more than 75%) group, with few events occurring in the near-or total-occlusion (95% to 100% stenosis) group; the highest incidence was in patients whose arteries had 75% to 90% stenosis. These observations indicate a critical degree of carotid stenosis at which stroke risk becomes maximal, declining as the artery becomes occluded. These findings suggest that there may be a "window" for carotid endarterectomy in patients with asymptomatic carotid stenosis, when the stroke risk may be high enough (5.5%/year) to warrant surgery.