JACC. Advances · 2025
Predicting Thoracic Aortic Dissection in a Diverse Biobank Using a Polygenic Risk Score.
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DePaolo John, Zamirpour Siavash, Abramowitz Sarah, Biagetti Gina, Judy Renae, Beeche Cameron, Duda Jeffrey, Gee James, Witschey Walter R, Chirinos Julio A, Goel Nicholas J, Desai Nimesh, Szeto Wilson Y, Guo Dongchuan, Milewicz Dianna M, Levin Michael G, Pirruccello James P, Damrauer Scott M
Аннотация
BACKGROUND: Thoracic aortic dissection is a life-threatening condition that often occurs in the presence of aortic dilation. However, currently there are limited clinical risk factors beyond aortic diameter (AoD) used to determine individual-level dissection risk.
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine whether common variant genetics can be used to improve identification of individuals most at risk for dissection.
METHODS: A genome-wide association study (GWAS)-by-subtraction was performed to characterize the diameter-independent genetics of thoracic aortic dissection by subtracting a GWAS of AoD from a GWAS of thoracic aortic aneurysm and dissection. A polygenic risk score (PRS) was calculated using the PRS-Continuous Shrinkage statistical package and applied to Penn Medicine BioBank participants. Statistical analysis was performed in R version 4.3.2.
RESULTS: We identified 43 genetic risk loci associated with dissection and derived a "Dissection-PRS" from our GWAS-by-subtraction. In the Penn Medicine BioBank, the Dissection-PRS associated with prevalent dissection (OR: 2.13 per 1 SD increase in Dissection-PRS; 95% CI: 1.91-2.39; P < 0.001). When adjusting for risk factors including AoD, the association of the Dissection-PRS with prevalent dissection was attenuated but remained statistically robust (OR: 1.62 per 1 SD increase in PRS; 95% CI: 1.36-1.94; P < 0.001). The addition of the PRS to a model containing age, sex, and clinical risk factors substantially improved model discrimination (base model area under the receiver operator characteristic curve = 0.676; 95% CI: 0.651-0.702; with addition of PRS area under the receiver operator characteristic curve = 0.723; 95% CI: 0.702-0.744).
CONCLUSIONS: A common-variant PRS can predict aortic dissection in a diverse population.
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine whether common variant genetics can be used to improve identification of individuals most at risk for dissection.
METHODS: A genome-wide association study (GWAS)-by-subtraction was performed to characterize the diameter-independent genetics of thoracic aortic dissection by subtracting a GWAS of AoD from a GWAS of thoracic aortic aneurysm and dissection. A polygenic risk score (PRS) was calculated using the PRS-Continuous Shrinkage statistical package and applied to Penn Medicine BioBank participants. Statistical analysis was performed in R version 4.3.2.
RESULTS: We identified 43 genetic risk loci associated with dissection and derived a "Dissection-PRS" from our GWAS-by-subtraction. In the Penn Medicine BioBank, the Dissection-PRS associated with prevalent dissection (OR: 2.13 per 1 SD increase in Dissection-PRS; 95% CI: 1.91-2.39; P < 0.001). When adjusting for risk factors including AoD, the association of the Dissection-PRS with prevalent dissection was attenuated but remained statistically robust (OR: 1.62 per 1 SD increase in PRS; 95% CI: 1.36-1.94; P < 0.001). The addition of the PRS to a model containing age, sex, and clinical risk factors substantially improved model discrimination (base model area under the receiver operator characteristic curve = 0.676; 95% CI: 0.651-0.702; with addition of PRS area under the receiver operator characteristic curve = 0.723; 95% CI: 0.702-0.744).
CONCLUSIONS: A common-variant PRS can predict aortic dissection in a diverse population.