Correlation of paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia, atrial fibrillation, and sinus rhythm with incidences of new thromboembolic stroke in 1476 old-old patients.

The relationship between supraventricular tachycardia and the incidence of thromboembolic stroke has not been previously reported. We investigated in a prospective study the incidence of new thromboembolic stroke in 1476 patients, mean age 81 years, with atrial fibrillation, paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia, or sinus rhythm detected by 24-hour ambulatory electrocardiograms. New thromboembolic stroke developed at 31-month follow-up in 87 of 201 patients (43%) with atrial fibrillation, at 43-month follow-up in 84 of 493 patients (17%) with paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia, and at 45-month follow-up in 143 of 782 patients (18%) with sinus rhythm (p < 0.0001 comparing atrial fibrillation with paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia or sinus rhythm). Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed a higher significance of thromboembolic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation, compared to patients with paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia or sinus rhythm (log-rank: p < 0.0001). Multivariate Cox regression model showed that independent significant predictors of thromboembolic stroke were: a) atrial fibrillation (relative risk = 3.31); b) prior thromboembolic stroke (relative risk = 2.85); c) sex (relative risk for women = 0.75); and d) age (relative risk = 1.02). These data show that atrial fibrillation is an independent predictor of thromboembolic stroke in elderly patients, and that paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia is not associated with thromboembolic stroke.