The blood sugar level can predict preoperative shock in patients with a ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm even when the patient's condition appears stable.

PURPOSE: This observational retrospective study aimed to identify preoperative blood test data capable of predicting preoperative shock in ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA).

METHODS

A total of 104 patients who underwent surgery for rAAA between 2007 and 2018 were reviewed. Preoperative shock, defined as a shock index (heart rate/blood pressure) exceeding 1.5 or a maximum blood pressure < 80 mmHg, was observed in 44 patients (42%).

RESULTS

Blood sugar (BS) (odds ratio [OR] 1.02; p < 0.001), C-reactive protein (CRP) (OR 0.57; p = 0.005), and hemoglobin (OR 0.60; p = 0.001) levels were identified as independent positive predictors of preoperative shock, and a BS level ≥ 300 mg/dl (OR 13.2; 95% CI 3.56-48.6; p < 0.001) was identified as a positive predictor of preoperative shock. The receiver operating characteristics curve analysis for BS showed that the area under the curve for the predicted probabilities was 0.84, and at a cut-off value of 215 mg/dl, the sensitivity of minimum BS for predicting preoperative shock was 86% with a specificity of 79%.

CONCLUSIONS

The BS level is as an independent predictor of preoperative shock in patients with rAAA. Patients with preoperative BS levels ≥ 300 mg/dl have an extremely high risk of preoperative shock.