A novel integrated urban flood risk assessment approach based on one-two dimensional coupled hydrodynamic model and improved projection pursuit method.

Urban flood risk assessment is a complex task, as it requires extensive knowledge about hydrological features of the catchment, hydraulic characteristics of the drainage network and social characteristics of residential areas. How to accurately and efficiently quantify regional risk has always been a challenge in this field. To solve the problem, this study is developed to propose a novel integrated urban flood risk assessment approach based on one-two dimensional coupled hydrodynamic model and improved projection pursuit method. Two open source software like urban storm flood management model (SWMM) and TELEMAC-2D are introduced to build the one-two coupling hydrodynamic model through proprietary programming, which can accurately simulate urban inundation process. Based on the simulation results of hydrodynamic model and literature review, a set of urban flood risk assessment index system containing physical mechanism and statistical mechanism related index is established, including a total of 12 indicators covering three dimensions like hazard factor, exposure factor and vulnerability factor. Then an Improved Projection Pursuit (IPP) method coupling k-means clustering algorithm is proposed to determine the index weight. The novel integrated urban flood risk assessment approach is implemented in Suyu district, China. The results demonstrate that the accuracy and efficiency of evaluation urban flood risk assessment are greatly improved by the integrated approach. In conclusion, this research offers a novel methodology for urban flood risk assessment and contributes to decision-making in environmental management.