Plasma Metabolite Associations with Incident Heart Failure with Reduced and Preserved Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND

Prior studies on metabolite associations with incident heart failure (HF) used billing code-based definitions and lacked the data on left ventricular ejection fraction needed to determine associations with HF with reduced (HFrEF) and preserved (HFpEF) ejection fraction.

OBJECTIVES

Identify potentially causal plasma metabolite associations with HFrEF and HFpEF, ascertained using a validated machine learning- and natural language processing-based algorithm, in up to 38,000 individuals.

METHODS

We included MGB Biobank participants who had available metabolomics data and no history of HF at baseline. The primary exposures were plasma levels of 42 metabolites measured using a H1 nuclear magnetic resonance platform. The primary outcome was incident HF, ascertained by a validated machine learning- and natural language processing-based algorithm. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression to quantify the associations between a 1-SD difference in metabolite level and the time to incident HF. Mendelian randomization analysis was used test the potential causality of each metabolite-HF association.

RESULTS

The final analytical cohort included 38,628 individuals with a mean age of 63 years (56% women). Higher plasma levels of glutamine associated with a higher risk of incident HF (HR [95% CI]: 1.21 [1.07-1.35]) while higher levels of docosahexaenoic acid (an omega-3 fatty acid) (0.85 [0.75-0.95]), phosphatidylcholines (0.85 [0.75-0.97]), phosphoglycerides (0.86 [0.76-0.97]) and total cholines (0.85 [0.75-0.97]) associated with a lower HF risk. Docosahexaenoic acid and total omega-3 fatty acids associated with HFpEF. Associations with HFpEF tended to be stronger than with HFrEF for several fatty acids, including omega-3 fatty acids, in individuals with obesity, but not coronary artery disease or diabetes. Mendelian randomization analysis supported causal associations between higher levels of docosahexaenoic acid and omega-3 fatty acids with a higher risk of HF and greater left ventricular mass index.

CONCLUSIONS

Dysregulated omega-3 fatty acid metabolism may be causally associated with a higher risk of incident HFpEF.