American journal of surgery · 2014
Can a surgeon predict the risk of postoperative hypoparathyroidism during thyroid surgery? A prospective study on self-assessment by experts.
СтатьяНаблюдательное исследованиеНазвание и аннотация: Перевод пока не подготовлен
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Promberger Regina, Ott Johannes, Bures Claudia, Kober Friedrich, Freissmuth Michael, Seemann Rudolf, Hermann Michael
Аннотация
BACKGROUND: Thyroid surgery can cause postoperative hypocalcemia (POH) and permanent hypoparathyroidism (PEH). Surgeons implicitly assess the risk and adapt their surgical strategy accordingly.
METHODS: The outcome of this intraoperative decision-making process (the surgeons' ability to predict the risk of POH and PEH on a numerical rating scale and their actual incidence) was studied prospectively in 2,558 consecutive thyroid operations.
RESULTS: POH and PEH occurred in 723 and 64 patients, respectively. In multivariate analysis, the surgeons' risk assessment score was an independent predictive factor for both complications (P < .05). Surgeons' differed significantly (P = .015) in their rates of POH but not of PEH (P = .062). Six and 3 (of 9) surgeons correctly predicted an increased risk of PEH and POH (adjusted odds ratios 1.67 to 2.21 and 1.47 to 12.73), respectively.
CONCLUSION: The risk for hypoparathyroidism can be estimated, but surgeons differ substantially in this ability and in the extent to which this implicit knowledge is translated into lower complication rates.
METHODS: The outcome of this intraoperative decision-making process (the surgeons' ability to predict the risk of POH and PEH on a numerical rating scale and their actual incidence) was studied prospectively in 2,558 consecutive thyroid operations.
RESULTS: POH and PEH occurred in 723 and 64 patients, respectively. In multivariate analysis, the surgeons' risk assessment score was an independent predictive factor for both complications (P < .05). Surgeons' differed significantly (P = .015) in their rates of POH but not of PEH (P = .062). Six and 3 (of 9) surgeons correctly predicted an increased risk of PEH and POH (adjusted odds ratios 1.67 to 2.21 and 1.47 to 12.73), respectively.
CONCLUSION: The risk for hypoparathyroidism can be estimated, but surgeons differ substantially in this ability and in the extent to which this implicit knowledge is translated into lower complication rates.
Предметные рубрики MeSH
AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overClinical CompetenceDecision Support TechniquesFemaleHumansHypocalcemiaHypoparathyroidismIntraoperative PeriodLinear ModelsLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisOdds RatioPostoperative ComplicationsPrognosisProspective StudiesQuality Assurance, Health CareRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSelf-AssessmentThyroidectomyYoung Adult