Hepatology international · 2021
Paris II and Rotterdam criteria are the best predictors of outcomes in patients with primary biliary cholangitis in Japan.
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Kimura Naruhiro, Takamura Masaaki, Takeda Nobutaka, Watanabe Yusuke, Arao Yoshihisa, Takatsuna Masahumi, Takeuchi Suguru, Abe Hiroyuki, Setsu Toru, Kamimura Hiroteru, Sakamaki Akira, Kamimura Kenya, Tsuchiya Atsunori, Terai Shuji
Аннотация
BACKGROUND: Biochemical response to treatment in patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) reflects prognosis. However, the best predictive criteria to detect biochemical response remain undetermined. In addition, because these criteria need > 6 months until definition, parameters that can estimate its results before initiating treatment are needed.
METHODS: We conducted a single-center retrospective study on 196 patients with PBC, followed up for at least 12 months after initiating treatment.
RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that Paris II (p = 0.002) and Rotterdam criteria (p = 0.001) could estimate the overall survival of PBC patients, whereas Paris II (p = 0.001), Rotterdam (p = 0.001), and Rochester criteria (p= 0.025) could estimate liver-related deaths. Cox hazard analysis revealed Paris II and Rotterdam criteria as significantly independent predictors of overall survival (hazard ratio (HR) 3.948, 95% CI 1.293-12.054, p = 0.016 and HR 6.040, 95% CI 1.969-18.527, p = 0.002, respectively) and liver-related deaths (HR 10.461, 95% CI 1.231-88.936, p = 0.032 and HR 10.824, 95% CI 1.252-93.572, p = 0.032, respectively). The results of Paris II criteria could be estimated by serum prothrombin time (Odds ratio (OR) 1.052, 95% CI 1.008-1.098, p = 0.021) and alanine transaminase level (OR 0.954, 95% CI 0.919-0.991, p = 0.014) whereas, those of Rotterdam criteria could be estimated by serum albumin level (OR 3.649, 95% CI 1.098-12.128, p = 0.035) at the time of diagnosis.
CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the best prediction criteria and pre-treatment parameters that facilitate the prognosis of PBC patients.
METHODS: We conducted a single-center retrospective study on 196 patients with PBC, followed up for at least 12 months after initiating treatment.
RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that Paris II (p = 0.002) and Rotterdam criteria (p = 0.001) could estimate the overall survival of PBC patients, whereas Paris II (p = 0.001), Rotterdam (p = 0.001), and Rochester criteria (p= 0.025) could estimate liver-related deaths. Cox hazard analysis revealed Paris II and Rotterdam criteria as significantly independent predictors of overall survival (hazard ratio (HR) 3.948, 95% CI 1.293-12.054, p = 0.016 and HR 6.040, 95% CI 1.969-18.527, p = 0.002, respectively) and liver-related deaths (HR 10.461, 95% CI 1.231-88.936, p = 0.032 and HR 10.824, 95% CI 1.252-93.572, p = 0.032, respectively). The results of Paris II criteria could be estimated by serum prothrombin time (Odds ratio (OR) 1.052, 95% CI 1.008-1.098, p = 0.021) and alanine transaminase level (OR 0.954, 95% CI 0.919-0.991, p = 0.014) whereas, those of Rotterdam criteria could be estimated by serum albumin level (OR 3.649, 95% CI 1.098-12.128, p = 0.035) at the time of diagnosis.
CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the best prediction criteria and pre-treatment parameters that facilitate the prognosis of PBC patients.