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Digestive diseases and sciences · 2022

Stratification Based on Risk Factors at Diagnosis Could Predict Progression in Patients with Pancreatic Cysts.

СтатьяНазвание и аннотация: Перевод пока не подготовлен
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Sugio Ryo, Nishida Tsutomu, Matsumoto Kengo, Kawamura Kosuke, Park Miyoung, Hamabe Tomoya, Hosokawa Kana, Kuriki Shinji, Chang Li-Sa, Fujii Yoshifumi, Osugi Naoto, Sugimoto Aya, Mukai Kaori, Nakamatsu Dai, Hayashi Shiro, Yamamoto Masashi, Nakajima Sachiko, Fukui Koji, Inada Masami

Аннотация

BACKGROUND: Predicting the risk of malignant transformation in pancreatic cyst patients is challenging.

AIM: We retrospectively investigated the risk factors for malignant transformation in pancreatic cyst patients.

METHODS: Patients with pancreatic cysts diagnosed using imaging tests were followed from November 2008 to December 2021. A significant change was defined as the additional development of high-risk stigmata (HRS), worrisome features (WFs), or pancreatic cancer during monitoring.

RESULTS: In total, 479 patients were analyzed, with a median observation period of 50 months. Forty-four patients (9.2%) showed significant changes, and eight (1.7%) developed pancreatic cancer. The univariate analysis showed that the cyst diameter at diagnosis (≥ 14 mm), main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter at diagnosis (≥ 3 mm), presence of multilocular cysts, and an inconsistent MPD caliber were significant predictive factors for a significant change. One point was assigned for each significant factor. We grouped the patients into three groups: the low-risk group (total score 0), medium-risk group (score 1-2), and high-risk group (score 3-4). The high-risk group had a higher risk of a significant change than the medium- and low-risk groups (age-adjusted HRs for the medium-risk and high-risk groups were 3.0 and 5.2 compared with the low-risk group).

CONCLUSION: Stratification based on risk factors may help predict the development of significant changes in pancreatic cyst patients.

Предметные рубрики MeSH

ИП Урсолов Владлен Сергеевич

ИНН 500118482352 · ОГРНИП 314500117700049

Реквизиты и контакты