Patient-Specific Myocardial Infarction Risk Thresholds From AI-Enabled Coronary Plaque Analysis.
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Miller Robert J H, Manral Nipun, Lin Andrew, Shanbhag Aakash, Park Caroline, Kwiecinski Jacek, Killekar Aditya, McElhinney Priscilla, Matsumoto Hidenari, Razipour Aryabod, Grodecki Kajetan, Kwan Alan C, Han Donghee, Kuronuma Keiichiro, Flores Tomasino Guadalupe, Geers Jolien, Goeller Markus, Marwan Mohamed, Gransar Heidi, Tamarappoo Balaji K, Cadet Sebastien, Cheng Victor Y, Achenbach Stephan, Nicholls Stephen J, Wong Dennis T, Chen Lu, Cao J Jane, Berman Daniel S, Dweck Marc R, Newby David E, Williams Michelle C, Slomka Piotr J, Dey Damini
Аннотация
METHODS: In this international, multicenter study of 2803 patients, a previously validated deep learning system was used to quantify coronary plaque from computed tomography angiography. Age- and sex-specific distributions of coronary plaque volume were determined from 956 patients undergoing computed tomography angiography for stable coronary artery disease from 5 cohorts. Multicenter external samples were used to evaluate associations between coronary plaque percentiles and myocardial infarction.
RESULTS: Quantitative deep learning plaque volumes increased with age and were higher in male patients. In the combined external sample (n=1847), patients in the ≥75th percentile of total plaque volume (unadjusted hazard ratio, 2.65 [95% CI, 1.47-4.78]; P=0.001) were at increased risk of myocardial infarction compared with patients below the 50th percentile. Similar relationships were seen for most plaque volumes and persisted in multivariable analyses adjusting for clinical characteristics, coronary artery calcium, stenosis, and plaque volume, with adjusted hazard ratios ranging from 2.38 to 2.50 for patients in the ≥75th percentile of total plaque volume.
CONCLUSIONS: Per-patient age- and sex-specific distributions for deep learning-based coronary plaque volumes are strongly predictive of myocardial infarction, with the highest risk seen in patients with coronary plaque volumes in the ≥75th percentile.