Higher baseline subcortical net water uptake in computed tomography predicts malignant middle cerebral artery infarction in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

AIM: The objective of this study was to assess the predictive performance of net water uptake (NWU) based on the Alberta stroke program early CT score (ASPECTS) from different ASPECT regions in relation to the development of malignant middle cerebral artery (MCA) infarction.

MATERIAL AND

METHODS

Patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) of the MCA territory were retrospectively enrolled between January 2019 and July 2022. Patients were divided into two groups according to the follow-up CT after 24-48 hours: malignant and nonmalignant infarction. NWUs were measured on diverse ASPECT regions on admission non-contrast CT, namely affected ASPECTS-NWU (af-ASPECTS-NWU), subcortical ASPECTS-NWU (sc-ASPECTS-NWU), and cortical ASPECTS-NWU (c-ASPECTS-NWU). Baseline characteristics were collected for univariate analyses and multivariate regression analyses to explore the independent risk factors for malignant infarction. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted and compared.

RESULTS

patients were included in the final analysis. Malignant MCA infarction was achieved in 42 (27.45%) patients and nonmalignant was 111 (72.55%). Compared with the nonmalignant infarction group, higher baseline National Institute of Health stroke scale (NIHSS) score, af-ASPECTS-NWU, c-ASPECTS-NWU, sc-ASPECTS-NWU, and lower ASPECTS were noted in the malignant infarction group (all P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression showed that only baseline sc-ASPECTS-NWU (>3.6%) was a positive factor for malignant MCA infarction. The ROC analysis indicated the highest predictive value of sc-ASPECTS-NWU for indicating malignant infarction with the area under ROC curve (AUC) 0.91.

CONCLUSION

Higher baseline sc-ASPECTS-NWU was a quantitative predictor for malignant MCA infarction in patients with AIS, which could be helpful for treatment decisions.