Factors associated with the incidence of urban visceral leishmaniasis: an ecological study in Teresina, Piauí State, Brazil.

The objective of this study was to identify socioeconomic and environmental factors associated with the incidence of visceral leishmaniasis in the city of Teresina, Piauí State, Brazil. This was an ecological study based on 1,744 cases reported from 1991 to 2000, and the city's neighborhoods served as the unit of analysis. Mean annual incidence rates were related to socioeconomic and demographic indicators and a vegetation index derived from remote sensing images by means of spatial multiple linear regression models. The neighborhoods with the highest incidence rates were mostly located in the city's peripheral areas. Multivariate analysis identified an interaction between population growth and the vegetation index, so that areas with high population growth and abundant vegetation showed the highest incidence rates. The percentage of households with piped water was inversely associated with visceral leishmaniasis incidence. Spatial distribution of visceral leishmaniasis in Teresina during the 1990s was heterogeneous, and incidence of the disease was associated with the peripheral neighborhoods with the heaviest vegetation cover, subject to rapid occupation and lack of adequate sanitation infrastructure.