Using a new diagnostic tool to predict lymph node metastasis in advanced epithelial ovarian cancer leads to simple lymphadenectomy decision rules: A multicentre study from the FRANCOGYN group.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to develop a new diagnostic tool to predict lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer undergoing primary cytoreductive surgery.

MATERIALS AND METHOD: The FRANCOGYN group's multicenter retrospective ovarian cancer cohort furnished the patient population on which we developed a logistic regression model. The prediction model equation enabled us to create LNM risk groups with simple lymphadenectomy decision rules associated with a user-friendly free interactive web application called shinyLNM.

RESULTS

277 patients from the FRANCOGYN cohort were included; 115 with no LNM and 162 with LNM. Three variables were independently and significantly (p<0.05) associated with LNM in multivariate analysis: pelvic and/or para-aortic LNM on CT and/or PET/CT (p<0.00), initial PCI ≥ 10 and/or diaphragmatic carcinosis (p = 0.02), and initial CA125 ≥ 500 (p = 0.02). The ROC-AUC of this prediction model after leave-one-out cross-validation was 0.72. There was no difference between the predicted and the observed probabilities of LNM (p = 0.09). Specificity for the group at high risk of LNM was 83.5%, the LR+ was 2.73, and the observed probability of LNM was 79.3%; sensitivity for the group at low-risk of LNM was 92.0%, the LR- was 0.24, and the observed probability of LNM was 25.0%.

CONCLUSION

This new tool may prove useful for improving surgical planning and provide useful information for patients.