Prognostic impact of early aortic volume changes at hospital discharge in patients with acute type B aortic dissection.

BACKGROUND

Early prediction of aorta-related events is important for determining subsequent treatment strategies in patients with acute aortic dissection. However, most studies evaluated long-term aortic growth rates by annual assessment. The purpose of our study was to determine whether the in-hospital growth rate of aortic volume was associated with aorta-related events.

METHODS

We studied 116 patients with uncomplicated type B acute aortic dissection. We analyzed whether changes in aortic volume were associated with aorta-related events during a 5-year follow-up. According to the growth rate from admission to discharge, patients were divided into two groups: Increase >0 (aortic volume: n = 59, aortic diameter: n = 43) and Reduction ≤0 (aortic volume: n = 57, aortic diameter: n = 73) in maximum aortic diameter or aortic volume. The primary endpoint was the discriminative ability of the growth rate of aortic volume for aorta-related events.

RESULTS

According to the evaluation of aortic volume changes, the Increase group had significantly higher aorta-related event rates than those in the Reduction group (49.2 % vs. 3.5 %, respectively; p < 0.001). Receiver operating characteristics analysis showed that the growth rate of aortic volume had a clearly useful discrimination, with an area under the curve of 0.84, whereas the discriminative ability of the growth rate of maximum aortic diameter was poor (area under the curve: 0.53). Multivariate analysis showed that the growth rate of aortic volume from admission to discharge was an independent predictor of aorta-related events (hazard ratio, 26.3; 95 % confidence interval, 2.04-286.49; p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In-hospital evaluation of aortic volume was helpful to predict long-term aorta-related events in patients with uncomplicated type B acute aortic dissection.