COVID-19 Vaccination and Pulmonary Nodules: A Narrative Review of Causality, Detection Bias and Thoracic Imaging Pitfalls.

Background/

Objectives

Concern that COVID-19 vaccination causes pulmonary nodules persists because vaccination coincided with expanded computed tomography (CT), low-dose CT (LDCT) screening, post-COVID imaging and artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted detection. This review asks whether the current literature supports causality and how vaccination history should inform thoracic imaging.

Methods

A focused search of PubMed, PubMed Central and the Cochrane Library was performed through 15 July 2026. Evidence was classified as direct or contextual; no PRISMA screening, risk-of-bias scoring or quantitative synthesis was performed.

Results

Direct evidence remains sparse. One case report was too confounded for inference. A two-sample Mendelian randomization study found no broad lung disease risk signal, but nodules were not modeled and the heterogeneous endpoints were exploratory. An ecological study of 1,616,750 samples linked rising detection to SARS-CoV-2 infection waves and AI-assisted reading; lacking individual vaccination data, it cannot establish whether vaccination affected detection. Screening interruption produced the opposite pattern: Lung-RADS 4 nodules rose from 8% to 29%. The most reproducible post-vaccination thoracic finding is regional lymph-node activation on [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography ([18F]FDG-PET/CT), an expected immune response rather than a parenchymal nodule.

Conclusions

Current evidence is insufficient to establish vaccination as an independent, population-level cause of pulmonary nodules. Vaccination history should guide [18F]FDG-PET/CT interpretation; CT-detected parenchymal nodules warrant standard risk stratification.