Journal of inflammation research · 2022
Short- and Mid-Term Survival Prediction in Patients with Acute Type A Aortic Dissection Undergoing Surgical Repair: Based on the Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index.
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Li Zeshi, Zhang He, Baraghtha Sulaiman, Mu Jiabao, Matniyaz Yusanjan, Jiang Xinyi, Wang Kuo, Wang Dongjin, Xue Yun Xing
Аннотация
PURPOSE: The postoperative survival of patients with acute type A aortic dissection (aTAAD) remains unsatisfactory. The current study developed an easy-to-use survival prediction model and calculator.
METHODS: A total of 496 patients with aTAAD undergoing surgical repair were included in this study. The systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and other clinical features were collected and subjected to logistic and Cox regression analyses. The survival prediction model was based on Cox regression analyses and exhibited as a nomogram. For convenience of use, the nomogram was further developed into calculator software.
RESULTS: We demonstrated that a higher preoperative SII was associated with in-hospital death (OR: 4.116, p < 0.001) and a higher postoperative overall survival rate (HR: 2.467, p < 0.001) in aTAAD patients undergoing surgical repair. A survival prediction model and calculator based on SII and four other clinical features were developed. The overall C-index of the model was 0.743. The areas under the curves (AUCs) of the 1- and 3-month and 1- and 3-year survival probabilities were 0.73, 0.71, 0.71 and 0.72, respectively. The model also showed good calibration and clinical utility.
CONCLUSION: Preoperative SII is significantly associated with postoperative survival. Based on SII and other clinical features, we created the first easy-to-use prediction model and calculator for predicting the postoperative survival rate in aTAAD patients, which showed good prediction performance.
METHODS: A total of 496 patients with aTAAD undergoing surgical repair were included in this study. The systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and other clinical features were collected and subjected to logistic and Cox regression analyses. The survival prediction model was based on Cox regression analyses and exhibited as a nomogram. For convenience of use, the nomogram was further developed into calculator software.
RESULTS: We demonstrated that a higher preoperative SII was associated with in-hospital death (OR: 4.116, p < 0.001) and a higher postoperative overall survival rate (HR: 2.467, p < 0.001) in aTAAD patients undergoing surgical repair. A survival prediction model and calculator based on SII and four other clinical features were developed. The overall C-index of the model was 0.743. The areas under the curves (AUCs) of the 1- and 3-month and 1- and 3-year survival probabilities were 0.73, 0.71, 0.71 and 0.72, respectively. The model also showed good calibration and clinical utility.
CONCLUSION: Preoperative SII is significantly associated with postoperative survival. Based on SII and other clinical features, we created the first easy-to-use prediction model and calculator for predicting the postoperative survival rate in aTAAD patients, which showed good prediction performance.