Sureness of classification of breast cancers as pure ductal carcinoma in situ or with invasive components on dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging: application of likelihood assurance metrics for computer-aided diagnosis.

PURPOSE: Breast cancer may persist within milk ducts (ductal carcinoma in situ, DCIS) or advance into surrounding breast tissue (invasive ductal carcinoma, IDC). Occasionally, invasiveness in cancer may be underestimated during biopsy, leading to adjustments in the treatment plan based on unexpected surgical findings. Artificial intelligence/computer-aided diagnosis (AI/CADx) techniques in medical imaging may have the potential to predict whether a lesion is purely DCIS or exhibits a mixture of IDC and DCIS components, serving as a valuable supplement to biopsy findings. To enhance the evaluation of AI/CADx performance, assessing variability on a lesion-by-lesion basis via likelihood assurance measures could add value.

APPROACH: We evaluated the performance in the task of distinguishing between pure DCIS and mixed IDC/DCIS breast cancers using computer-extracted radiomic features from dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging using 0.632+ bootstrapping methods (2000 folds) on 550 lesions (135 pure DCIS, 415 mixed IDC/DCIS). Lesion-based likelihood assurance was measured using a sureness metric based on the 95% confidence interval of the classifier output for each lesion.

RESULTS: The median and 95% CI of the 0.632+-corrected area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the task of classifying lesions as pure DCIS or mixed IDC/DCIS were 0.81 [0.75, 0.86]. The sureness metric varied across the dataset with a range of 0.0002 (low sureness) to 0.96 (high sureness), with combinations of high and low classifier output and high and low sureness for some lesions.

CONCLUSIONS: Sureness metrics can provide additional insights into the ability of CADx algorithms to pre-operatively predict whether a lesion is invasive.