Pancreatic cancer mortality in China from 2004 to 2021: an in-depth analysis of age, gender, and regional disparities.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to analyze the trends and epidemiological characteristics of pancreatic cancer (PC) mortality in China from 2004 to 2021, focusing on gender, age, and regional disparities. The goal was to provide a comprehensive understanding of PC mortality and identify key risk factors to support future prevention and control strategies.

METHODS

Using data from the national Disease Surveillance Point (DSP) system, which covers a large and representative sample of the Chinese population, the study examined pancreatic cancer mortality trends across different age groups, sexes, and regions. Statistical analyses, including the independent-sample t-test and age-period-cohort (APC) model, were employed to assess mortality differences and annual percentage changes from 2004 to 2021.

RESULTS

The study recorded a significant increase in pancreatic cancer mortality, particularly among males and older adults. Mortality was consistently higher in urban areas, but the growth rate in rural areas surpassed that of urban areas. Regional disparities were also observed, with the eastern region showing the highest mortality rates but slower increases compared to the central and western regions. Key risk factors, including aging, diabetes, smoking, and chronic pancreatitis, were identified, with gender-specific differences linked to lifestyle factors such as smoking and alcohol consumption.

CONCLUSION

Pancreatic cancer mortality in China has shown significant increases over the past 18 years, especially among males, older adults, and rural populations. The findings highlight the urgent need for targeted public health interventions to address gender- and age-specific risks, as well as healthcare access inequalities in less developed regions. Future research should focus on gathering more granular, individual-level data to better understand the complex interplay of risk factors and inform more effective prevention and treatment strategies.