Atherogenic dyslipidaemic profiles associated with the development of Type 2 diabetes: a 3.1-year longitudinal study.

AIMS: While there is thought to be an association between glucose and lipid metabolism, it is largely unknown whether apolipoprotein B and non-high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol are associated with the development of Type 2 diabetes. It is also unknown whether these atherogenic dyslipidaemic profiles have a stronger association with diabetes risk compared with conventional lipid measurements.

METHODS: A total of 118 429 subjects without diabetes (70 980 men and 47 449 women), aged 17-90 years (mean age 39.6 years), were enrolled in this study and followed for a mean duration of 3.1 years.

RESULTS: Apolipoprotein B and non-HDL cholesterol levels showed a strong association with the development of Type 2 diabetes compared with conventional lipid measurements and their ratios [hazard ratio per 1 sd; 1.39 (95% CI 1.37-1.42) and 1.38 (95% CI 1.35-1.40), respectively; both P < 0.001]. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve demonstrated that Type 2 diabetes developed more frequently as apolipoprotein B or non-HDL cholesterol levels increased across quartiles (both P < 0.001). In multivariate Cox regression analyses, both apolipoprotein B and non-HDL cholesterol were associated with the development of Type 2 diabetes, independent of other risk factor including age, sex, waist circumference, family history of diabetes, fasting serum glucose and insulin levels, HbA1c , systolic blood pressure and other conventional lipid measurements [hazard ratio per 1 sd; 1.14 (95% CI 1.11-1.18) and 1.13 (95% CI 1.10-1.16), respectively; both P < 0.001].

CONCLUSIONS: Atherogenic dyslipidaemia was more strongly associated with the development of Type 2 diabetes than conventional lipid measurements, and this effect was independent of other well-established risk factor for diabetes.