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DOI 10.1097/md.0000000000018490

Медицинская библиотека · Medicine · 2019

A nomogram for prediction of posthepatectomy liver failure in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A retrospective study.

Shen Yi-Nan, Tang Tian-Yu, Yao Wei-Yun, Guo Cheng-Xiang, Yi-Zong, Song Wei, Liang Ting-Bo, Bai Xue-Li

СтатьяНаблюдательное исследованиеПеревод пока не подготовлен

Аннотация

To generate a nomogram to predict posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF), we attempted to elucidate salient risk factors in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).We performed a retrospective review of 665 patients with HCC who received hepatectomy in 2 academic institutions in China. Independent risk factors for PHLF were identified from putative demographic, intrinsic, biochemical, surgery-related, and volumetric data. A predictive nomogram was formulated based on relevant risk factors, and we compared this with existing models.We identified clinical signs of portal hypertension (P = .023), serum total bilirubin (P = .001), serum creatinine (P = .039), and intraoperative hemorrhage (P = .015) as being important risk factors in predicting PHLF. The nomogram had a C-index of 0.906 for the externally validated data. The nomogram displayed better predictive value than 2 of the other most cited models (C-indices of 0.641 and 0.616, respectively) in the current cohort. Additionally, we were able to patients into low- (<10%), intermediate- (10-30%), and high-risk (≥30%) groups based on the nomogram. This allows us to facilitate person-specific management.Here, we constructed a simple nomogram for prediction of PHLF in patients with HCC weighted by independent risk factors. Further prospective studies are required to confirm the predictive ability of our nomogram.

Для цитирования: Shen Yi-Nan, Tang Tian-Yu, Yao Wei-Yun, Guo Cheng-Xiang, Yi-Zong, Song Wei, Liang Ting-Bo, Bai Xue-Li. A nomogram for prediction of posthepatectomy liver failure in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: A retrospective study.. Medicine. 2019. DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000018490.

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