Two-step global sensitivity analysis of a non-local integro-differential model for Cancer-on-Chip experiments.

The present work focuses on a non-local integro-differential model reproducing Cancer-on-chip experiments where tumor cells, treated with chemotherapy drugs, secrete chemical signals stimulating the immune response. The reliability of the model in reproducing the phenomenon of interest is investigated through a global sensitivity analysis, rather than a local one, to have global information about the role of parameters, and by examining potential non-linear effects in greater detail. Focusing on a region in the parameter space, the effect of 13 model parameters on the in silico outcome is investigated by considering 11 different target outputs, properly selected to monitor the spatial distribution and the dynamics of immune cells along the period of observation. In order to cope with the large number of model parameters to be investigated and the computational cost of each numerical simulation, a two-step global sensitivity analysis is performed. First, the screening Morris method is applied to rank the effect of the 13 model parameters on each target output and it emerges that all the output targets are mainly affected by the same 6 parameters. The extended Fourier Amplitude Sensitivity Test (eFAST) method is then used to quantify the role of these 6 parameters. As a result, the proposed analysis highlights the feasibility of the considered space of parameters, and indicates that the most relevant parameters are those related to the chemical field and cell-substrate adhesion. In turn, it suggests how to possibly improve the model description as well as the calibration procedure, in order to better capture the observed phenomena and, at the same time, reduce the complexity of the simulation algorithm. On one hand, the model could be simplified by neglecting cell-cell alignment effects unless clear empirical evidences of their importance emerge. On the other hand, the best way to increase the accuracy and reliability of our model predictions would be to have experimental data/information to reduce the uncertainty of the more relevant parameters.