A molecular-based risk score for predicting leukemia-free survival in adult AML patients undergoing Allo-HSCT.

Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) remains the cornerstone of curative therapy for acute myeloid leukemia (AML), yet precise molecular prognostic tools are currently insufficient. This study developed a prognostic model, AML-PRSS, integrating genomic and clinical factors from 389 adult AML patients undergoing their first allo-HSCT between 2013 and 2021. Seven genetic mutations significantly associated with leukemia-free survival (LFS) were categorized as favorable (DNMT3A, CEBPA bZIP domain, NPM1 without FLT3-ITD or with FLT3-ITD plus tyrosine kinase inhibitors), unfavorable (NRAS and GATA2), and high-risk (TP53 and U2AF1). Multivariate analysis identified molecular risk, cytogenetic risk, pre-transplant disease status, age, and hematopoietic cell transplant-comorbidity index (HCT-CI) score as independent predictors of LFS. AML-PRSS stratified patients into four risk groups with stepwise increasing hazard of LFS failure. Validation in an independent multi-center cohort of 266 patients confirmed robust predictive accuracy, highlighting AML-PRSS as an effective tool for personalized prognostication and clinical decision-making.