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The journal of climate change and health · 2026

Individual-level health effects of living near a gas-fired "Peaker" power plant.

СтатьяНазвание и аннотация: Перевод пока не подготовлен
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Jung Youn Soo, Allen Adrienne, Casey Joan, Henneman Lucas, Shan Xiaorong, Shirley Hugh, Nadeau Kari, Duhaime Ann-Christine

Аннотация

INTRODUCTION: "Peaker" electrical power plants operate only during periods of peak energy needs. Rapid fossil-fuel combustion ramp-up produces high emissions, and peaker plants are significant sources of CO2 and particulate air pollution. We evaluated whether residents living near a gas-fired peaker plant experienced increased pollution-associated emergency department/urgent care (ED/UC) visits associated with air pollution related to the "on" phases of peaker operation.

METHODS: ED/UC visits for patients in a primary care practice serving the neighborhoods surrounding a peaker plant in Massachusetts were analyzed for 5 years (2017-2021) for visit diagnoses including respiratory and cardiovascular conditions, headache, and pregnancy complications. Daily exposure to peaker-related emissions using HyADS, an air-parcel trajectory model-derived unitless measure of exposure magnitude, was assigned by the zip code of each patient's residential address. A case-crossover design evaluated the association between daily peaker exposure and cause-specific ED/UC visits, adjusting for heat index, PM2.5 from other sources, holidays, and seasonality.

RESULTS: Average daily peaker plant exposure was 1.4 (unitless); large variability reflected plant intermittency (SD=16). Background PM2.5 exposure was 8.5 μg/m³ (SD=6.4). Analyses included 2,310 ED/UC visits for assessed diagnoses among patients residing ≤ 30 km from the plant. Main analyses showed a positive association between short-term peaker emissions and increased risk of ED/UC visits for respiratory conditions (OR 1.044; 95 % CI 1.001-1.090). In addition, we found respiratory disease-related visits were elevated among the non-white group (OR 1.347; 95 % CI 1.034-1.755). There was no association noted between peaker emissions and visits for cardiovascular, headache, or pregnancy diagnoses.

CONCLUSION: The peaker plant worsened air quality when turned on. Although we did not observe consistent associations across all assessed ED/UC visit categories, there was a positive same-day association between modeled peaker-plant exposure and respiratory-related visits. Replacing combustion-driven peaker plants with renewable energy in densely populated neighborhoods could yield measurable global and local air quality-related health benefits.

ИП Урсолов Владлен Сергеевич

ИНН 500118482352 · ОГРНИП 314500117700049

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