Discordance in Creatinine- and Cystatin C-Based eGFR and Clinical Outcomes: A Meta-Analysis.
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Estrella Michelle M, Ballew Shoshana H, Sang Yingying, Grams Morgan E, Coresh Josef, Surapaneni Aditya, Alencar de Pinho Natalia, Ärnlöv Johan, Brenner Hermann, Carrero Juan-Jesus, Chen Teresa K, Cohen Debbie L, Cushman Mary, Gansevoort Ron T, Hwang Shih-Jen, Inker Lesley A, Ix Joachim H, Kabasawa Keiko, Konta Tsuneo, Lees Jennifer S, Polkinghorne Kevan R, Shlipak Michael G, Vernooij Robin W M, Wheeler David C, Yadav Ashok Kumar, Levey Andrew S, Eckardt Kai-Uwe, Chronic Kidney Disease Prognosis Consortium Investigators and Collaborators
Аннотация
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the prevalence of a discordance between cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcys) and creatinine-based eGFR (eGFRcr), identify characteristics associated with greater discordance, and evaluate associations of discordance with adverse outcomes.
DATA SOURCES: Participants in the Chronic Kidney Disease Prognosis Consortium (CKD-PC).
STUDY SELECTION: Participants with concurrent cystatin C and creatinine measurements and clinical outcome measurement.
DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Between April 2024 and August 2025, data were synthesized using individual-level meta-analysis.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary independent measurement was a large negative eGFR difference (eGFRdiff), defined as an eGFRcys that was at least 30% lower than eGFRcr. Secondary (dependent) outcomes included all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, heart failure, and kidney failure with replacement therapy.
RESULTS: A total of 821 327 individuals from 23 outpatient cohorts (mean [SD] age, 59 [12] years; 48% female; 13.5% with diabetes; 40% with hypertension) and 39 639 individuals from 2 inpatient cohorts (mean [SD] age, 67 [16] years; 31% female; 30% with diabetes; 72% with hypertension) were included. Among outpatient participants, 11% had a large negative eGFRdiff (range, 3%-50%). Among inpatients, 35% had a large negative eGFRdiff. Among outpatient participants, at a mean (SD) follow-up of 11 (4) years, a large negative eGFRdiff, compared with an eGFRdiff between -30% and 30%, was associated with higher rates of all-cause mortality (28.4 vs 16.8 per 1000 person-years [PY]; hazard ratio [HR], 1.69 [95% CI, 1.57-1.82]), cardiovascular mortality (6.1 vs 3.8 per 1000 PY; HR, 1.61 [95% CI, 1.48-1.76]), atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (13.3 vs 9.8 per 1000 PY; HR, 1.35 [95% CI, 1.27-1.44]), heart failure (13.2 vs 8.6 per 1000 PY; HR, 1.54 [95% CI, 1.40-1.68]), and kidney failure with replacement therapy (2.7 vs 2.1 per 1000 PY; HR, 1.29 [95% CI, 1.13-1.47]).
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In the CKD-PC, 11% of outpatient participants and 35% of hospitalized patients had an eGFRcys that was at least 30% lower than their eGFRcr. In the outpatient setting, presence of eGFRcys at least 30% lower than eGFRcr was associated with significantly higher rates of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, and kidney failure.