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Acta tropica · 2026

Fine-scale mapping of Oncomelania hupensis habitats in eastern China using multi-season Sentinel-2 imagery and semi-supervised deep learning.

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Dai Kedi, Xu Zihan, Lv Zelan, Dai Jianjun, Ke Yongwen, Lu Hong, Gao Fenghua, Hu Yi

Аннотация

Accurate mapping of Oncomelania hupensis, the intermediate host of Schistosoma japonicum, is challenging due to sparse field data and dynamic seasonal flooding. We developed SnailMatch, a semi‑supervised deep learning framework combining multi‑seasonal Sentinel‑2 imagery to delineate snail habitats in Guichi, China. The model used 229 field-confirmed snail presence sites, 229 systematically sampled absence sites, and 5,759 unlabeled locations. Twelve cloud-free Sentinel-2 scenes covering all seasons of 2023 are processed through an attention-based Multi-Seasonal Fusion module that captures subtle seasonal and ecological patterns relevant to snail habitat suitability. In parallel, a Random Forest model trained on seven environmental covariates provided complementary ecological information. A Bayesian‑optimised ensemble produced habitat maps at a resolution of 100 m. Spatial block cross-validation (6-fold) demonstrated the ensemble achieved superior performance (accuracy=92.44%, AUC=96.31%, F1=91.67%) compared to individual models. High - probability habitats (>70 %) were concentrated in flooded vegetation, agricultural lands, and dense bushland, capturing 73.80 % of presence sites while covering 57.56 % of the study area. Post-hoc environmental factor analysis and shapley analysis indicated that seasonal inundation and vegetation density increased suitability, whereas high land-surface temperature combined with strong nighttime illumination-reflecting urban heat island conditions-reduced suitability. Model transferability was evaluated at the Anhui-Jiangxi border, where the ensemble achieved similarly strong performance (accuracy=91.94%, AUC=96.25%, F1=91.88%), demonstrating robustness across distinct landscapes. This cost-effective, interpretable approach supports targeted molluscicide application and vegetation management, aligning with WHO's 2030 elimination targets and demonstrating the utility of multi-seasonal remote sensing and explainable AI in environmental health surveillance under climate and land-use changes.

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