Genetic insights into lung squamous cell carcinoma: how TP53 and CSMD3 co-mutations shape prognosis and immune response.

BACKGROUND: Lung squamous cell carcinoma (LUSC) accounts for a significant proportion of lung cancer cases and is often associated with smoking and various environmental factors. The prognostic and immunologic implications of TP53 and CSMD3 co-mutations in LUSC remain poorly understood. This study aimed to investigate the role of TP53/CSMD3 co-mutations in LUSC using comprehensive bioinformatics analyses.

METHODS: Data from 487 LUSC patients were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database, with external validation performed using the combined cohort. Patients were stratified into TP53/CSMD3 co-mutation, single-mutation, and wild-type (WT) groups. Prognostic analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier survival curves. Tumor mutational burden (TMB) was calculated, and immune cell infiltration was assessed using multiple algorithms. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between co-mutated and WT groups were identified, followed by Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) enrichment analyses. A nomogram incorporating mutation status, gender, age, and tumor stage (T stage) was developed for individualized prognostic prediction.

RESULTS: The TP53/CSMD3 co-mutated group exhibited significantly better overall survival (OS) compared to single-mutation and WT groups. TMB scores were markedly higher in co-mutated patients, suggesting potential sensitivity to immune checkpoint inhibitors. Immune infiltration analysis revealed distinct profiles, including elevated CD8 T cells and reduced immunosuppressive components, in the co-mutation group. A total of 403 DEGs were identified between co-mutated and WT groups, with significant enrichment in immune-related pathways. Mechanistically, the co-mutation was associated with distinct downregulation of complement negative regulators (CFH/CFI), indicating complement hyperactivation independent of TMB. The constructed nomogram provided accurate individualized prognostic assessments.

CONCLUSIONS: The co-mutation of TP53 and CSMD3 identifies a distinct LUSC subtype with favorable survival, marked by high TMB and an immune-activated microenvironment. Beyond TMB-driven neoantigen generation, the significant downregulation of complement negative regulators (CFH/CFI) reveals an independent complement hyperactivation pathway associated with CSMD3 loss. The constructed nomogram provides accurate individualized survival prediction. These findings establish TP53/CSMD3 co-mutation as a promising prognostic biomarker and offer mechanistic insights for personalized immunotherapy strategies. Future prospective cohorts are warranted to validate its predictive value.