Cost-effectiveness analysis of transthoracic echocardiographic assessment in patients with ischemic stroke or TIA of undetermined cause.

BACKGROUND: The multicenter ATTEST study recently assessed 1084 patients with ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) of undetermined cause and found that routine transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) detects abnormalities with treatment implications (i.e., major cardiac sources of embolism) in only 1 % of patients, of whom most (91 %) also had major electrocardiographic (ECG)-abnormalities. In this study, we performed a cost-effectiveness analysis of different TTE strategies.

METHODS: We compared the cost-effectiveness of three strategies of TTE assessment: (1) TTE in all patients; (2) TTE only in patients with major ECG-abnormalities; and (3) TTE not performed. Input data were derived from ATTEST and systematic literature reviews. A Markov model was developed that simulated recurrent ischemic stroke or TIA and intracranial and gastro-intestinal bleeding complications in patients with ischemic stroke or TIA of undetermined cause. Primary outcome was the additional costs per additional quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) from a Dutch societal perspective.

RESULTS: Performing TTE only in patients with major ECG-abnormalities led to 0.0083 additional QALYs and €108 additional costs per patient as compared with not performing TTE (€12,987/QALY). Performing TTE in all patients resulted in 0.0005 additional QALYs and €422 additional costs per patient as compared with performing TTE only in case of major ECG-abnormalities (€805,336/QALY).

CONCLUSIONS: In patients with ischemic stroke or TIA of undetermined cause, a strategy of performing TTE only in patients who also had major ECG-abnormalities resulted in the most favorable ratio of additional costs per additional QALY. This supports performing TTE only in patients, who also have major ECG-abnormalities.