The Impact of Frailty Indices on Predicting Complications and Functional Recovery in Proximal Humerus Fractures: A Comparative Study.

Background and

Objectives

This retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the predictive validity of four frailty indices-Modified Frailty Index-5 (mFI-5), Edmonton Frail Scale (EFS), Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), and Trauma-Specific Frailty Index (TSFI)-in forecasting postoperative complications and functional outcomes in elderly patients with proximal humerus fractures (PHFs) treated either surgically or conservatively. Materials and

Methods

A total of 244 patients aged ≥60 years with PHFs treated at Erzurum Hospital between January 2018 and January 2023 were included. Patients were categorized into surgical (n = 110) and conservative (n = 134) groups. Surgical procedures included open reduction and internal fixation (n = 88), hemiarthroplasty (n = 10), and reverse shoulder arthroplasty (n = 12). Frailty was retrospectively assessed using mFI-5, EFS, CFS, and TSFI based on 24-month follow-up data. Outcomes included complications, reoperations, rehospitalizations, and functional results measured by the American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons (ASES) score.

Results

The overall complication rate was 13.1%, with nonunion being the most common. Reoperation and rehospitalization rates were 10.6% and 20%, respectively. The mean ASES score was 71.3 ± 15.2, with 60% of patients achieving good or excellent outcomes. Frailty scores, particularly mFI-5 and EFS, were significantly higher in the conservatively treated group compared to the surgical group (p < 0.01). Across both treatment modalities, patients with higher frailty scores had significantly increased complication rates; however, this effect was more pronounced in the surgical group. Multivariate logistic regression revealed that mFI-5 significantly predicted complications, reoperations, and rehospitalizations (p < 0.001). EFS was associated with reoperation risk (p = 0.018), while CFS and TSFI were not significantly correlated with any of the outcomes.

Conclusions

Among the evaluated indices, mFI-5 showed the strongest predictive accuracy for adverse outcomes in elderly PHF patients. Notably, the negative impact of frailty was more evident among surgically treated patients. Routine frailty assessment may facilitate better risk stratification and individualized treatment planning in this population.