Prediction of Spontaneous Puberty in Turner Syndrome Based on Mid-Childhood Gonadotropin Concentrations, Karyotype, and Ovary Visualization: A Longitudinal Study.

AIMS: To investigate whether karyotype, mid-childhood (6-10 years) follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) and luteinizing hormone (LH) levels, and ultrasound ovary visualization results can be used as indicators of spontaneous puberty in Turner syndrome (TS).

METHODS

The analysis was based on clinical and biochemical data from 110 TS girls aged >13 years at the end of the study (1,140 visits between 1996 and 2015). The study population was divided according to karyotype: 45,X and non-45,X.

RESULTS

The mean age ± standard deviation at diagnosis was 10.7 ± 4.0 years, and the follow-up duration was 5.9 ± 3.3 years. Spontaneous puberty was confirmed in 48% and menarche in 20% of the subjects, less frequently in 45,X girls. The mean age at Tanner stage B2 was 13.7 ± 2.4 years and that at menarche 14.2 ± 1.7 years, regardless of the karyotype. The median FSH level at 6-10 years was 8.16 IU/L, which was significantly lower than <6 years and >10 years. The median LH level at 6-10 years was 0.35 IU/L, which was lower than >10 years. The chance of spontaneous menarche was decreased in girls with FSH ≥6.7 IU/L between 6 and 10 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Although spontaneous puberty and menarche occur more frequently in non-45,X girls, the karyotype cannot be used to predict them. However, the chance of spontaneous menarche can be predicted based on gonadotropin cut-off values. There was no correlation between ultrasound ovary visualization results and spontaneous puberty.