Machine learning-based prediction of postoperative delirium from intraoperative EEG signal alterations in brain functional connectivity.

OBJECTIVES

Postoperative delirium (POD) is a frequent complication following cardiovascular surgery and requires timely intervention. While early risk prediction holds clinical value, practical tools remain limited. This study aims to identify EEG-based features associated with POD and evaluate their predictive potential using machine learning.

METHODS

70 patients undergoing cardiovascular surgery were enrolled, including 35 with POD and 35 without. Functional connectivity was assessed using phase-locking values (PLV) derived from intraoperative EEG data. Network edges showing significant between-group differences in the delta, theta, alpha, and beta bands were selected as features for input into an XGBoost classifier.

RESULTS

POD patients exhibited the most pronounced alterations in the theta band, with 12 significantly different PLV edges, followed by 1 in delta, 4 in alpha, and 5 in beta. All significant edges showed increased PLV values. Theta-band features demonstrated the highest predictive performance, achieving 90.7% accuracy and an Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve of 0.91.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings reveal significantly enhanced theta-band connectivity and general abnormal cortical synchrony in POD patients.

SIGNIFICANCE: These EEG-based features may serve as potential biomarkers and provide a foundation for machine learning models to enable early POD risk prediction.