A proposed approach to study the toxicology of complex mixtures of petroleum products: the integrated use of QSAR, lumping analysis and PBPK/PD modeling.

Mixture toxicity is a topic that has become a matter of concern during the last two decades. One of the major problems with assessing the toxicity of mixtures and the associated human and environmental risk is the large number of possible mixtures, as well as the fact that the actual mixture effect for a given set of constituents might strongly depend on the actual composition of the mixture, i.e., the ratios of the constituent, as well as their nature. This paper presents a possible approach to describe and thereby better understand the pharmacokinetics and dynamics of complex mixtures by combining quantitative structure-activity relationships to predict needed parameters, lumping to reduce the complexity of the problem, and physiologically based pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic modeling to integrate all this information into a complete toxicological description of the mixture. It is our hope that by presenting this conceptual approach we might be able to stimulate some criticisms and discussions in the toxicology community regarding this complex and yet very important area of research.