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Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2026

Respiratory syncytial virus disease burden in adults aged ≥50 years old: A retrospective national surveillance database analysis in Mexico (2015-2023).

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López Ortíz Eduardo, Díaz-Quiñonez José Alberto, Román Pedroza Juan Francisco, Pacheco Montes Salma, Guzmán-Holst Adriana

Аннотация

Despite widespread circulation among older adults and those with comorbidities, the burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in this population remains under-recognized. This study characterized the epidemiology of RSV among adults aged ≥50 years in Mexico. We retrospectively analyzed data from the National Epidemiological Surveillance System (SiNaVE) in Mexico, including laboratory-confirmed RSV cases between 01/01/2015 and 31/12/2023. Descriptive analyses characterized RSV occurrence, age, symptoms, comorbidities, and temporal patterns. Temporal and spatial autocorrelation analyses assessed RSV circulation. Spatial regression models examined associations between structural health determinants and the geographic distribution of RSV cases. We identified 7,958 RSV cases of all ages, of which 9.4% occurred in adults aged ≥50 years. Among these, 60.5% were female patients, and 53.8% had more than one comorbidity, the most common being hypertension and diabetes. Fatality rate was 12.6% among adults aged ≥50 years. RSV positivity was higher among the older age groups and fluctuated over the years, peaking in 2019 and declining in 2020. RSV seasonality was observed, with the highest frequency in October, and broader peaks than those of influenza. Spatial analysis revealed heterogeneous RSV activity across Mexico, with Ciudad de Mexico and Mexico accounting for ~36% of cases. Socioeconomic disadvantage was associated with fewer reported RSV cases. RSV represents a substantial and likely under-recognized burden among Mexican adults. The seasonality and spatial heterogeneity highlight the need for active, timely, and adult-focused RSV surveillance to improve awareness, equitable detection, and targeted prevention strategies, including vaccination.

Предметные рубрики MeSH

ИП Урсолов Владлен Сергеевич

ИНН 500118482352 · ОГРНИП 314500117700049

Реквизиты и контакты