Florida scrub-jay genomes across space and time reveal impacts of population decline and reduced gene flow.

Whole-genome sequencing is proving to be highly informative about the past demography of free-living populations, and in the context of endangered species, it can provide a quantification of the genetic risk posed by reduced genetic diversity and inbreeding. Prior to 1920, the Florida scrub-jay (Aphelocoma coerulescens) was more numerous across peninsular Florida, but with the expansion of agriculture and human habitation, its population has declined by 95%, resulting in fragmentation into semi-isolated subpopulations. By sequencing 241 individuals sampled from five different regions and across two time points, this study quantifies a greater loss of genetic diversity and greater levels of inbreeding in smaller and more isolated subpopulations. Consistent with population genetics theory, a reduction in population size results in a dramatic loss of rare alleles, skewing the site frequency spectrum far from the expected equilibrium. Increased inbreeding in the smaller, more remote subpopulations is especially evident in the increased size and number of runs of homozygosity. The Florida scrub-jay displays limited dispersal, and habitat fragmentation has greatly reduced the magnitude of gene flow in the past 30 years, resulting in further decline of genetic diversity, especially in the peripheral populations. Analysis of these data is informative in guiding conservation efforts to retain genetic diversity and minimize the consequences of inbreeding in the Florida scrub-jay.