[Comparative evaluation of prognostic models of the development of vibration disorders caused by local vibration].

The article compares the present domestic and foreign patterns of vibration disorders probability forecasting, uncovers the main causes of their difference and deals with the quest of a pattern, which is the most adequate to available empirical data. Extensive epidemiologic data on vibration morbidity helped to create a new forecasting pattern. The established dependence is expressed by an equation, a table and a plot, which enable to evaluate vibration disease risk under exposure to vibration of different levels and duration and to elucidate the safe length of service. The level of vibration was proved to reduce the latent period of vibration disease in accordance with range of exposure, probability intervals and length of service, prophylactic measures and insurance therefore should be differentiated for everyone exposed to vibration.