Analysis of Morbidity and Mortality Due to Yellow Fever in Brazil.

INTRODUCTION

Yellow fever (YF) is a viral hemorrhagic fever transmitted by mosquitoes, characterized by a high mortality due to kidney and liver failure, massive coagulation disorders, and hemorrhages. With no specific treatment, prevention through vaccination and vector control is essential. This study investigates the epidemiology of YF in Brazil from 2011 to 2020, focusing on its trends and distribution across the territory.

METHODS

This ecological time-series study analyzed confirmed YF cases in Brazil's 27 federative units between 2011 and 2020. Data were sourced from DATASUS, IBGE, and IPEA. Incidence rates per 100,000 inhabitants were calculated, and various sociodemographic and health indicators were analyzed. Prais-Winsten autoregressive models assessed the trends, while a spatial analysis identified the risk areas using global and local Moran's I statistics. The data were processed using Stata and GeoDa® software, version 1.12.

RESULTS

YF cases were concentrated in the Amazon and Atlantic Forest biomes. The majority of the cases occurred in males (83.3%), non-white individuals (94.3%), and rural workers. Pará showed an increasing trend in incidence. A higher vaccination coverage correlated with a lower YF incidence, though endemic areas with good vaccination coverage still exhibited high rates. Health and socioeconomic indicators were inversely related to incidence, highlighting disparities in regional development.

CONCLUSION

Effective YF control requires multidisciplinary strategies, including expanded vaccination coverage, intensified vector control, and active surveillance. Research should focus on developing better vaccines, monitoring immunity, and improving the global response coordination.