Prognostic marker for liver disease due to alpha1-antitrypsin deficiency.

BACKGROUND: Only some Alpha1-antitrypsin deficiency (A1ATD) PiZZ patients develop liver cirrhosis and portal hypertension. Aim of the study was to investigate the course of liver disease associated with PiZZ A1ATD and to determine prognostic factors.

PATIENTS: We retrospectively reviewed the clinical and laboratory data of all PiZZ children up to 18 years of age admitted to our centre since 1978. 53 patients (age at first visit 2 days to 12 years) met our criteria.

METHODS: The children were divided into 2 groups: group 1 'bad prognosis', meaning the patients which were on the waiting list for liver transplantation (LTx), had a liver transplantation or had died, and group 2 'good prognosis', containing the patients they were living with their own liver. We analysed family history including smoking, gestational age, maternal age at delivery, date of birth, sex, neonatal history, breast-feeding, symptoms at presentation, clinical and laboratory data and date of LTx and/or death.

RESULTS: Various anamnesis parameters such as manifestation of neonatal cholestasis showed no prognostic significance. In contrast the laboratory parameters thrombocytes (p=0.008), bilirubin (p<0.001), prothrombin time (p<0.001), choline-sterase (p<0.001), gamma-GT (p=0.001) and GOT (p=0.002) showed a correlation with a liver transplantation and/or death.

CONCLUSION: Prognosis is difficult to determine at an early stage of this disease, but various laboratory parameters can help to predict an outcome. Therefore a regular follow-up is necessary for the children.